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Abstract

This paper examines the divergent trajectories of the Indian farmers movement across four states following the introduction of three farm bills in 2020 that challenged agrarian society. Although triggered by a common national grievance, the movement varied dramatically in each state in both its emergence and persistence across two major protest waves in 2020 and 2024. Using a comparative historical approach, this study argues that variation in movement trajectory is best explained through two key mechanisms: organizational capacity and media field embeddedness. Organizational capacity, rooted in the historical strength and structure of farmer unions, shaped the initial emergence of protests. Media field embeddedness—the extent to which a state's movement actors were connected to broader activist and media networks—determined the persistence of mobilization under conditions of repression and fragmentation. By distinguishing between movement emergence and persistence, this thesis advances a sequential framework for understanding protest lifecycles and offers broader insights into how movements survive, adapt, or dissolve in contested political environments.

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