Published May 14, 2024 | Version v1
Journal article Open

Redistribution of nitrogen to feed the people on a safer planet

  • 1. LUT University
  • 2. Natural Resources Institute Finland
  • 3. University of Göttingen
  • 4. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
  • 5. University of Chicago

Description

Lack of nitrogen limits food production in poor countries while excessive nitrogen use in industrial countries has led to transgression of the planetary boundary. However, the potential of spatial redistribution of nitrogen input for food security when returning to the safe boundary has not been quantified in a robust manner. Using an emulator of a global gridded crop model ensemble, we found that redistribution of current nitrogen input to major cereals among countries can double production in the most food-insecure countries, while increasing global production of these crops by 12% with no notable regional loss or reducing the nitrogen input to the current production by one-third. Redistribution of the input within the boundary increased production by 6–8% compared to the current relative distribution, increasing production in the food-insecure countries by two-thirds. Our findings provide georeferenced guidelines for redistributing nitrogen use to enhance food security while safeguarding the planet.

Data availability

The data produced in the study and the R code are available via Zenodo https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10965953.

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Additional details

Identifiers

DOI
10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae170
Other
oai:uchicago.tind.io:11808

Funding

Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports of Czech Republic
CZ.02.01.01/00/22_008/0004635
German Ministry of Education and Research
01LS1903A
National Science Foundation
DGE-1746045

UChicago Information

Division(s)
Physical Sciences Division
Department(s)
Geophysical Sciences