Dynamic coexistence driven by physiological transitions in microbial communities

Microbial ecosystems are commonly modeled by fixed interactions between species in steady exponential growth states. However, microbes in exponential growth often modify their environments so strongly that they are forced out of the growth state into stressed, nongrowing states. Such dynamics are typical of ecological succession in nature and serial-dilution cycles in the laboratory. Here, we introduce a phenomenological model, the Community State Model, to gain insight into the dynamic coexistence of microbes due to changes in their physiological states during cyclic succession. Our model specifies the growth preference of each species along a global ecological coordinate, taken to be the biomass density of the community, but is otherwise agnostic to specific interactions (e.g., nutrient starvation, stress, aggregation), in order to focus on self-consistency conditions on combinations of physiological states, "community states," in a stable ecosystem. We identify three key features of such dynamical communities that contrast starkly with steady-state communities: enhanced community stability through staggered dominance of different species in different community states, increased tolerance of community diversity to fast growing species dominating distinct community states, and increased requirement of growth dominance by late-growing species. These features, derived explicitly for simplified models, are proposed here as principles aiding the understanding of complex dynamical communities. Our model shifts the focus of ecosystem dynamics from bottom–up studies based on fixed, idealized interspecies interaction to top–down studies based on accessible macroscopic observables such as growth rates and total biomass density, enabling quantitative examination of community-wide characteristics.