Published December 8, 2025 | Version v1
Journal article

Can speed cameras make streets safer? Quasi-experimental evidence from New York City

  • 1. University of Chicago
  • 2. Columbia University
  • 3. Rutgers University

Description

Each year, approximately 40,000 people die in vehicle collisions in the United States, generating $340 billion in economic costs. To make roads safer without expanding police contact, many cities have turned to automated traffic enforcement, cameras that detect and fine speeding motorists. Does automated enforcement reduce vehicle collisions and injuries? Many previous studies are limited to correlational evidence. By contrast, this study estimates the causal effect of automated enforcement on road safety in a difference-in-differences design. We exploit the staggered rollout of 2,000 speed cameras across New York City between 2014 and 2023, combining data on 700,000 collisions and 200,000 injuries with data on 18 million tickets issued. We find that cameras reduce collisions and injuries by 5 and 2.5% per month on average, respectively. Cumulatively, over the seven months following their introduction, collisions declined by 30% and injuries by 16%.

Data availability

Replication data and code for publication data have been deposited in OSF.io (56). All other data are included in the article and/or SI Appendix.

Additional details

Identifiers

DOI
10.1073/pnas.2520328122
Other
oai:uchicago.tind.io:16690

Funding

Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey

UChicago Information

Division(s)
Social Sciences Division
Department(s)
Sociology