@article{TEXTUAL,
      recid = {2155},
      author = {Shaw, Tiffany},
      title = {Quantifying the impact of evaporation on the 2 circulation  shift in response to increased CO2},
      address = {2020-03-18},
      number = {TEXTUAL},
      abstract = {As climate warms, atmospheric wind patterns are predicted  to shift poleward. However, different climate models  disagree on the magnitude of the shift, and we lack a clear  understanding because too many factors are at play. To  separate the different factors, we extend a technique that  "locks" a given effect to quantify the effects of (1)  increased surface evaporation as the sea surface warms up,  and (2) changes in cloud patterns contributing to anomalous  warming in the atmosphere. We apply the new method in a  simplified Earth-like model with global ocean to quantify  the impacts on the three effects on the circulation shift  in response to quadrupled CO2 concentration. In addition we  show that across the future warming projections of 33  state-of-the-art climate models, about 60% of the model  spread in the shift of southern hemispheric summertime  surface westerlies can also be attributed to the same two  factors (or more specifically, their contrasting changes  between the subtropical and subpolar regions). Therefore,  we should focus on improving the understanding and the  model representation of these two factors for better  predicting the wind pattern shift in the future.},
      url = {http://knowledge.uchicago.edu/record/2155},
      doi = {https://doi.org/10.6082/uchicago.2155},
}