@article{TEXTUAL,
      recid = {14514},
      author = {Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E. and Alexander, Lisa V. and  King, Andrew D. and Kew, Sarah F. and Philip, Sjoukje Y.  and Barnes, Clair and Maraun, Douglas and Stuart-Smith,  Rupert F. and Jézéquel, Aglaé and Bevacqua, Emanuele and  Burgess, Samantha and Fischer, Erich and Hegerl, Gabriele  C. and Kimutai, Joyce and Koren, Gerbrand and Lawal, Kamoru  Abiodun and Min, Seung-Ki and New, Mark and Odoulami,  Romaric C. and Patricola, Christina M. and Shaw, Tiffany  A.},
      title = {Frontiers in attributing climate extremes and associated  impacts},
      journal = {Frontiers in Climate},
      address = {2024-10-13},
      number = {TEXTUAL},
      abstract = {The field of extreme event attribution (EEA) has rapidly  developed over the last two decades. Various methods have  been developed and implemented, physical modelling  capabilities have generally improved, the field of impact  attribution has emerged, and assessments serve as a popular  communication tool for conveying how climate change is  influencing weather and climate events in the lived  experience. However, a number of non-trivial challenges  still remain that must be addressed by the community to  secure further advancement of the field whilst ensuring  scientific rigour and the appropriate use of attribution  findings by stakeholders and associated applications. As  part of a concept series commissioned by the World Climate  Research Programme, this article discusses contemporary  developments and challenges over six key domains relevant  to EEA, and provides recommendations of where focus in the  EEA field should be concentrated over the coming decade.  These six domains are: (1) observations in the context of  EEA; (2) extreme event definitions; (3) statistical  methods; (4) physical modelling methods; (5) impact  attribution; and (6) communication. Broadly,  recommendations call for increased EEA assessments and  capacity building, particularly for more vulnerable  regions; contemporary guidelines for assessing the  suitability of physical climate models; establishing  best-practice methodologies for EEA on compound and  record-shattering extremes; co-ordinated interdisciplinary  engagement to develop scaffolding for impact attribution  assessments and their suitability for use in broader  applications; and increased and ongoing investment in EEA  communication. To address these recommendations requires  significant developments in multiple fields that either  underpin (e.g., observations and monitoring; climate  modelling) or are closely related to (e.g., compound and  record-shattering events; climate impacts) EEA, as well as  working consistently with experts outside of attribution  and climate science more generally. However, if approached  with investment, dedication, and coordination, tackling  these challenges over the next decade will ensure robust  EEA analysis, with tangible benefits to the broader global  community.},
      url = {http://knowledge.uchicago.edu/record/14514},
}