@article{TEXTUAL,
      recid = {14456},
      author = {Park, Sang Woo and Noble, Brooklyn and Howerton, Emily and  Nielsen, Bjarke F. and Lentz, Sarah and Ambroggio, Lilliam  and Dominguez, Samuel and Messacar, Kevin and Grenfell,  Bryan T.},
      title = {Predicting the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions  against COVID-19 on <i>Mycoplasma  pneumoniae</i> in the United States},
      journal = {Epidemics},
      address = {2024-11-30},
      number = {TEXTUAL},
      abstract = {The introduction of non-pharmaceutical interventions  (NPIs) against COVID-19 disrupted circulation of many  respiratory pathogens and eventually caused large, delayed  outbreaks, owing to the build up of the susceptible pool  during the intervention period. In contrast to other common  respiratory pathogens that re-emerged soon after the NPIs  were lifted, longer delays (> 3 years) in the outbreaks of  Mycoplasma pneumoniae (Mp), a bacterium commonly  responsible for respiratory infections and pneumonia, have  been reported in Europe and Asia. As Mp cases are  continuing to increase in the US, predicting the size of an  imminent outbreak is timely for public health agencies and  decision makers. Here, we use simple mathematical models to  provide robust predictions about a large Mp outbreak  ongoing in the US. Our model further illustrates that NPIs  and waning immunity are important factors in driving long  delays in epidemic resurgence.},
      url = {http://knowledge.uchicago.edu/record/14456},
}